2017 OSCAR PREDICTIONS
BEST PICTURE
Will win: La La Land
Should win: Hidden Figures
Did win: Moonlight
Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester By the Sea
Moonlight
La La Land is most likely to win. It is popular and it is an example of Oscars So White. I have a problem with a theme, where career is all that matters. The main male character seems to miss the possibility that maybe that child could actually be his. His partner flees, because she knows that his support and commitment to the relationship is not there. I prefer Hidden figures, which reveals hidden facts about the ’60s and enlightens us about the merits and contributions of Blacks during the space race. I am shying away from Moonlight, because it has some undertones of misogyny in its portrayal of women.
Arrival explores psychic communication, but does not explain why it is necessary for the linguist to take off her radiation suit? Fences has dialogue that is more suited for stage, than film, but it does eventually deliver the emotional impact of the situation. Hacksaw Ridge leaves the image of frightened, screaming soldiers in my mind, but it is inspiring that the main character was real and was successful in rescuing so many soldiers during WWII. The images of war brutality is so heavy handed that it is easy to become insensitive to it.
Hell or High Water is extremely misogynistic. I can not feel sorry for men who do not get why it is important to take care of their women and children. Lion makes it hard for me to forget about what the Australians did to the Aboriginal children for very racist reasons. A child is always best off with a loving birth family. And, Manchester By The Sea is a very sad story. No matter how immature parents may be, rarely do they burn up their children.
BEST DIRECTOR
Will win: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Should win: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Did win: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By the Sea
Denis Villeneuve, Arrival
BEST ACTOR
Will win: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Should win: Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Did win: Casey Affleck, Manchester By the Sea
Casey Affleck, Manchester By the Sea
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences
BEST ACTRESS
Will win: Emma Stone, La La Land
Should win: Natalie Portman, Jackie
Did win: Emma Stone, La La Land
Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Should win: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Did win: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges, Manchester By the Sea
Dev Patel, Lion
Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will win: Viola Davis, Fences
Should win: Michelle Williams, Manchester By the Sea
Did win: Viola Davis, Fences
Viola Davis, Fences
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester By the Sea
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will win: Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By the Sea
Should win: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Did win: Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By the Sea
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Yorgos Lanthimos and Efthimis Filipou, The Lobster
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By the Sea
Mike Mills, 20th Century Women
Taylor Sheridan, Hell or High Water
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will win: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Should win: Allison Schroeder and Theodore Melfi, Hidden Figures
Did win: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Luke Davies, Lion
Eric Heisserer, Arrival
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Allison Schroeder and Theodore Melfi, Hidden Figures
August Wilson, Fences
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2/22/17 #2017 OSCAR PREDICTIONS